The Impact of the Election Result on Supply Chain Transparency and Resilience
Companies with complex supply chains may see a shift toward reduced federal oversight on Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) compliance. Trump has previously criticized corporate reporting requirements on climate risks, signaling that federal ESG regulations like the SEC climate disclosure rules may not expand under his administration. However, businesses will still need to navigate state-level mandates and pressures from investors prioritizing transparency in supply chain practices.
Trade and Tariff Policies
Trump’s approach to trade could reintroduce tariffs that prioritize domestic manufacturing and energy independence, potentially impacting global supply chains. For companies reliant on international sourcing, especially from countries with differing environmental and social standards, this may require adjusting procurement strategies to align with U.S.-focused trade policies. Businesses operating in certain European territories already need to comply with an array of supply chain-related EU regulations such as the Corporate Sustainability Due Diligence Directive (CSDDD), the Corporate Sustainability Reporting Directive (CSRD), the EU Deforestation Regulation (EUDR), and the Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM). Learn about these regulations and how to navigate them with our 5-Step Guide for North American companies.
A Trump administration might take an opposing stance toward the EU’s CBAM as part of its broader “America First” agenda, which originally focused on establishing global tariffs and reducing reliance on foreign trade, particularly with China. With new EU regulations targeting imported emissions, a Trump-led U.S. could respond by imposing trade barriers or tariffs on European exports. Trump’s administration does recognize the economic leverage of CBAM-like policies, but the approach would likely be more unilateral and protectionist – resulting in new regulatory compliance requirements for organizations with significant greenhouse gas emissions.
International Conversation and Impact
COP29, the 29th annual Conference of the Parties under the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC), to be held from November 11 to 22 in Baku, Azerbaijan, will bring together global leaders, policymakers, business representatives, and environmental groups to advance international climate action. Trump’s focus on deregulation may mean that COP29 outcomes, like emissions targets and enhanced ESG standards, are less binding domestically. Furthermore, there’s speculation that the U.S. might step away from the UNFCCC altogether and it’s quite likely that the U.S. will again withdraw from the Paris Agreement, as it did under the previous Trump administration.
Still, U.S. companies operating internationally or trading with markets that prioritize strict sustainability standards such as the European Union would face pressure to align with COP29 initiatives.
Resilience and Decarbonization Efforts
Though Trump’s policies lean toward traditional energy sources, such as oil, natural gas, and coal, demand for robust and low-carbon supply chains is likely to remain strong due to investor expectations and international market requirements. Critical industries like agriculture, technology, and manufacturing will need to consider supply chain resilience and emissions monitoring as part of ongoing ESG commitments, regardless of federal policy shifts.
Organizations that proactively manage these aspects will stay competitive in both domestic and international markets.